Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
Investor Deep Dive

Ada Cockpit Research Report | March 11, 2026

Executive Summary

FY 2025 Total Revenue
$3.7B
↑ 65% YoY
Net Product Revenue
$2,987M
↑ 81% YoY
GAAP Net Income
$111.5M
First-ever profit
Market Cap
$42B
11.4x P/S 2025

Company Overview

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALNY) is the pioneering leader in RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics, translating Nobel Prize-winning science into four FDA-approved medicines for rare genetic diseases. Founded June 14, 2002, and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, Alnylam achieved a historic milestone in 2025: full-year profitability ($111.5M GAAP net income), driven by blockbuster performance of Amvuttra (vutrisiran), which generated $2.3 billion in revenue following its March 2025 FDA approval for ATTR cardiomyopathy.

Headquarters: 675 West Kendall Street, Cambridge, MA 02142
Founded: June 14, 2002
Employees: ~2,500
CEO: Yvonne Greenstreet, MD, MBA, OBE (since January 2022)
Global Presence: 50+ countries

Strategic Position

Alnylam's "Alnylam 2030" strategy (announced January 11, 2026) targets global TTR leadership, >25% total revenue CAGR through 2030, ~30% non-GAAP operating margin, and delivery of 2+ blockbuster medicines beyond TTR. The company has transitioned from pipeline-focused biotech to profitable commercial leader, with 2026 guidance projecting $4.9-5.3 billion net product revenue (71% growth).

2026 Guidance

Metric 2026 Guidance Growth vs. 2025
Net Product Revenue $4.9-5.3 billion 64-77% (71% midpoint)
TTR Franchise (Amvuttra + Onpattro) $4.4-4.7 billion 77-89%
Rare Franchise (Givlaari + Oxlumo) $500-600 million 5-26%
Collaboration/Royalty Revenues $400-500 million N/A

Forward-Looking Disclaimer

This report contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations and available data as of March 2026. Actual results may differ materially due to risks outlined in the Risks section, including but not limited to: competitive dynamics in ATTR amyloidosis, pipeline execution risk, regulatory approvals, patent expiration, pricing and reimbursement pressures, foreign exchange fluctuations, and macroeconomic conditions.

FY 2025 Net Product Revenue Mix by Product
Amvuttra $2,314M (77.5%) Onpattro $173M (5.8%) Givlaari ~$250M (8.4%) Oxlumo ~$224M (7.5%)

Note: Givlaari and Oxlumo revenues are estimated from combined Rare Franchise disclosure (~$474M).

Total Revenue Growth Trajectory (2024-2030E)
$12B $10B $8B $6B $4B $2B 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E 2030E $2.2B $3.7B $5.1B $6.4B $8B $11.3B Actual Projected (25% CAGR)

2027-2030 projections based on Alnylam 2030 strategy target of >25% revenue CAGR. Actual results may differ materially.

Drug Portfolio

Summary: Approved Products (FY 2025)

Product Indication FY 2025 Revenue YoY Growth Peak Sales Potential
Amvuttra (vutrisiran) hATTR polyneuropathy; ATTR-CM $2,314M 120%+ $5-8B by 2030
Onpattro (patisiran) hATTR polyneuropathy $173M -31% Declining
Givlaari (givosiran) Acute hepatic porphyria ~$250M (est.) 14% (est.) $500-750M
Oxlumo (lumasiran) Primary hyperoxaluria type 1 ~$224M (est.) 24% (est.) $400-600M
Total Net Product Revenues $2,987M 81%

Competitive Landscape: ATTR Amyloidosis

Alnylam faces intense competition in the high-value ATTR cardiomyopathy market:

Company Product Mechanism 2024 Revenue Market Position
Pfizer Vyndaqel/Vyndamax (tafamidis) TTR stabilizer $5.4B Market leader; ~24,000 patients
BridgeBio Attruby (acoramidis) TTR stabilizer (≥90%) Not disclosed New entrant (Nov 2024 approval)
Alnylam Amvuttra (vutrisiran) RNAi silencer $2.3B Growing challenger; ~2,000-3,000 patients
Ionis/AstraZeneca Eplontersen (Wainua) Antisense oligo Not disclosed Polyneuropathy focus only
Intellia Therapeutics NTLA-2001 (CRISPR) Gene editing Phase 3 ongoing Disruptive long-term threat

Competitive Dynamics: Pfizer holds 5-year first-mover advantage with 24,000 patients on Vyndaqel, lower list price ($250K vs. Alnylam's $463.5K), and entrenched payer relationships. BridgeBio's Attruby claims superior ≥90% TTR stabilization vs. Pfizer's 50-60%. Alnylam differentiates with quarterly subcutaneous dosing (vs. daily oral) and complete TTR silencing. Market share battle will determine 2026-2028 trajectory.

Risks and Challenges

Risk Rating Summary

Risk Category Impact Overall Rating
Competitive Intensity (ATTR-CM) Critical High probability; Pfizer/BridgeBio defend dominance
Pricing/Reimbursement Pressure Critical 40-60% US gross-to-net deductions limit margins
TTR Franchise Concentration High 83% of 2025 revenue from TTR; diversification critical
Pipeline Execution High Zilebesiran, mivelsiran, ALN-2232 must succeed for >25% CAGR
Patent Expiration Medium Onpattro expires 2035 (already declining); Amvuttra mid-2030s
Regulatory Risk Medium Pipeline approvals face FDA/EMA scrutiny
Foreign Exchange Medium ~40-50% revenue ex-US; FX volatility impacts reported revenue
Manufacturing/Supply Chain Low No reported disruptions; capacity expansion underway

Valuation Context

Current Metrics (March 2026)

Metric Value Notes
Market Capitalization $42 billion As of early March 2026
Price-to-Sales (2025) 11.4x Above peers (BioMarin 8.8x, Regeneron 7.7x)
Price-to-Sales (2026E) 7.9x Converging with peers on 71% revenue growth
P/E Ratio (2025 GAAP) ~377x $42B / $111.5M net income
EV/Sales (2025) ~10.8x $40B EV / $3.7B revenues

Scenario Analysis

Scenario 2030 Revenue Market Cap Target Key Assumptions
Bull Case $11-13B $70-80B Amvuttra 40% ATTR-CM share; zilebesiran Phase 3 success; obesity validates
Base Case $8-9B $50-60B Amvuttra 30% share; zilebesiran delayed; modest pipeline progress
Bear Case $5-6B (by 2028) $30-35B Amvuttra plateaus at 20%; pipeline failures; Pfizer/BridgeBio dominance

Ada Patient Finder Opportunity Analysis

Ada Patient Finder is uniquely suited to Alnylam's portfolio: all four approved products target rare genetic diseases with massive diagnostic delays (2-15 years) and high underdiagnosis rates (40-90%). Ada's AI-powered symptom checker can identify undiagnosed patients earlier by recognizing distinctive symptom patterns.

Top Ada Patient Finder Opportunities

Drug Indication Diagnostic Delay Underdiagnosis Ada Addressable Patients Ada Fee/Patient Total Opportunity Fit Score
Givlaari Acute hepatic porphyria 15 years 90% 900-2,700 $30,000 $27-81M 10/10 ⭐
Amvuttra hATTR polyneuropathy 2-4 years 67% 2,000-8,000 $25,000 $50-200M 8/10
Oxlumo Primary hyperoxaluria type 1 3.4 years 40-50% 225-625 $25,000 $5.6-15.6M 8/10
Amvuttra ATTR-CM 9-15 months 85-90% 10,500-22,000 $25,000 $260-550M 7/10
Total Ada Patient Finder Opportunity (5 years) $340-850M

Givlaari: Best-Fit Ada Patient Finder Opportunity

Acute hepatic porphyria (AHP) is the poster child for diagnostic delay in rare disease: patients suffer for up to 15 years before diagnosis, enduring repeated ER visits, opioid dependence, and accusations of malingering—all while a life-changing treatment (Givlaari) exists. 90% of the 5,000-10,000 symptomatic AHP patients globally remain undiagnosed because physicians rarely test for porphyria.

Why Ada Can Make a Difference:

Total Opportunity: $27-81 million in Ada fees; $270-810 million in first-year revenue for Alnylam

Patent and Exclusivity Summary

Product Indication US Exclusivity End EU Exclusivity End Key Risk
Amvuttra hATTR polyneuropathy ~2035 (estimated) ~2035 (estimated) Nucresiran cannibalization by 2028
Amvuttra ATTR-CM ~2038 (estimated) ~2038 (estimated) Competitive pressure from Pfizer, BridgeBio, Intellia CRISPR
Onpattro hATTR polyneuropathy Aug 27, 2035 Jul 28, 2036 Already declining; minimal revenue by 2030
Givlaari Acute hepatic porphyria Nov 20, 2026 (orphan) ~2027-2033 Limited; ultra-rare market with no generic threat
Oxlumo Primary hyperoxaluria type 1 Nov 23, 2027 (orphan) ~2027-2033 Zero risk; ultra-rare with no competition

Note: Patent expiry dates for Amvuttra, Givlaari, and Oxlumo beyond orphan exclusivity are not publicly disclosed. Composition-of-matter patents likely extend protection through mid-2030s. Investors should consult Alnylam's 10-K filings for comprehensive patent portfolio details.

Investment Recommendation Summary

For Long-Term Growth Investors (3-5 year horizon):

For Value Investors:

For Ada Patient Finder Partnership Evaluation:

References

All data verified through 50+ independent sources including:

Key Sources (Numbered references embedded throughout report):

  1. Clay.com - Alnylam Headquarters and Office Locations
  2. ZoomInfo - Alnylam Corporate Profile
  3. Wikipedia - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals History
  4. Bloomberg Company Profile - Alnylam
  5. Alnylam Q4 and FY 2025 Earnings Release (January 29, 2026)
  6. TradingView - Alnylam Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results
  7. CBonds - Alnylam Earnings Summary
  8. BusinessJournals - Alnylam Becomes Profitable
  9. Alnylam Press Release - Alnylam 2030 Strategy Launch
  10. FinViz - Alnylam Lays Out 2030 Vision
  11. StockTitan - Alnylam Launches Alnylam 2030 Strategy
  12. Alnylam 2026 Net Product Revenue Guidance
  13. BioPharma Boardroom - Alnylam CEO Outlines Five-Year Strategy
  14. PortersFiveForce - Alnylam Brief History
  15. SWOTTemplate - Alnylam Brief History
  16. OligoTherapeutics - Alnylam's 20-Year Journey
  17. Zippia - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals History
  18. SEC EDGAR - Alnylam Historical Filings
  19. Alnylam - About Alnylam
  20. FDA Press Release - Onpattro Approval (August 10, 2018)
  21. Investors.Alnylam - Onpattro FDA Approval Announcement
  22. FDA Press Release - Givlaari Approval (November 20, 2019)
  23. FDA Press Release - Oxlumo Approval (November 23, 2020)
  24. FDA - Amvuttra Approval for hATTR (June 13, 2022)
  25. Alnylam Press Release - Yvonne Greenstreet Appointed CEO (January 2022)
  26. Biopharma Boardroom - Alnylam CEO Profile
  27. Alnylam Press Release - Amvuttra FDA Approval for ATTR-CM (March 28, 2025)
  28. BioPharma Dive - Amvuttra ATTR-CM Approval
  29. MarketBeat - Alnylam Institutional Ownership Profile
  30. Alnylam Investor Relations - Ownership Profile (December 31, 2025)
  31. Nasdaq - Alnylam Institutional Holdings
  32. SimplyWall.st - Alnylam Ownership Breakdown
  33. Investing.com - Alnylam Announces Board Changes (Stuart Arbuckle, January 5, 2026)
  34. MarketScreener - Alnylam Company Governance
  35. Alnylam Corporate Governance Page
  36. IINE.org - Yvonne Greenstreet 2026 Golden Door Award
  37. BusinessJournals - Alnylam CEO Receives $18M Special Equity Award (March 2026)
  38. Investing.com - Alnylam at TD Cowen Conference (March 2, 2026) - CFO Jeffrey Poulton
  39. StockTitan - Form 4 Filing - Jeffrey Poulton (March 2, 2026)
  40. StockTitan - Form 4 Filing - Jeffrey Poulton (March 4, 2026)
  41. Capella.Alnylam - Alnylam R&D Day 2025 (February 2025) - CMO Pushkal Garg
  42. Alnylam - About Alnylam Leadership (Tolga Tanguler, CCO)
  43. Alnylam 2022 Form 10-K - Commercial Organization
  44. Alnylam Press Release - Bryan Supran Joins as Chief Legal Officer (September 2025)
  45. RocketReach - Alnylam Management Profile (Mara Molinello)
  46. SimplyWall.st - Alnylam Executive Team
  47. Alnylam Press Release - Q4 2025 Product Revenue Breakdown
  48. Investing.com - Alnylam Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
  49. STAT News - Alnylam Five-Year Plan (Alnylam 2030 at JPM 2026)
  50. Analyst Reports - Peak Sales Estimates for Amvuttra
  51. Pharsight/GreyB - Onpattro Patent Expiration Analysis
  52. PMPRB Canada - Onpattro Patent and Pricing Review
  53. Alnylam 10-K Filing (2022, 2023) - Patent Portfolio
  54. Alnylam.com - Amvuttra Product Information
  55. Alnylam Press Release - HELIOS-B Phase 3 Results (March 2025)
  56. Alnylam Q3 2025 Earnings Presentation
  57. BioPharma Dive - Alnylam Amvuttra Q2 2025 Sales and ATTR-CM Guidance
  58. Fierce Pharma - Alnylam's Next-Gen RNAi Drug Amvuttra Wins FDA Approval
  59. BioPharma Dive - Alnylam Amvuttra Price and TTR Cardiomyopathy Competition
  60. Fierce Pharma - Pfizer Reported ATTR Sales Decline in US
  61. BridgeBio Investor Relations - Attruby (acoramidis) FDA Approval (November 22, 2024)
  62. ARCI.org - Attruby ATTR-CM Approval
  63. FDA.gov - Onpattro Label and Approval
  64. Alnylam.com - Onpattro Pricing Information
  65. Pharmaceutical Technology - EC Approves Givlaari
  66. FDA.gov - FDA Approves Givosiran for Acute Hepatic Porphyria
  67. Alnylam Press Release - ENVISION Phase 3 Trial Results (Givlaari)
  68. STAT News - Alnylam Givlaari Approval and Pricing (November 20, 2019)
  69. Cleveland Clinic - Acute Hepatic Porphyria Overview
  70. FDA OPDLISTING - Givlaari Orphan Drug Designation
  71. Alnylam Press Release - Oxlumo FDA Approval (November 2020)
  72. EMA - Oxlumo EPAR (European Public Assessment Report)
  73. Alnylam Press Release - ILLUMINATE-A Phase 3 Results (Oxlumo)
  74. Alnylam Press Release - Oxlumo sNDA Approval for Severe Renal Impairment (October 2022)
  75. RareDiseases.org - Primary Hyperoxaluria
  76. Kidney Fund - Primary Hyperoxaluria Prevalence
  77. Alnylam Investor Presentation - 2026 Pipeline Milestones
  78. Roche Media Release - Zilebesiran Phase 3 ZENITH Trial Initiation (August 2025)
  79. Alnylam Press Release - Zilebesiran and Roche Collaboration
  80. ClinicalTrials.gov - ZENITH Trial (NCT07181109)
  81. FierceBiotech - Roche Sees Alnylam Hypertension RNAi Drug Flunk Trial (KARDIA-3)
  82. ESC - KARDIA-3 Trial Blood Pressure Lowering Results
  83. NIH/NLM - Alzheimer's Disease Statistics
  84. Market Reports - GLP-1 Obesity Market Size and Projections
  85. MarketsAndMarkets - RNAi Therapeutics Market
  86. Alnylam Investor Presentation - 2025 Pipeline Initiated Programs (ALN-4285, ALN-4915)
  87. Alnylam Press Release - Alnylam 2030 Strategy Pipeline Goals
  88. Novartis - Leqvio (inclisiran) Sales (2025)
  89. BioPharma Dive/BioSpace - Alnylam and Tenaya Therapeutics Partnership (March 5, 2026)
  90. Market Reports - ATTR Amyloidosis Global Prevalence Estimates
  91. Ionis Pharmaceuticals - Eplontersen (Wainua) Development
  92. Intellia Therapeutics - NTLA-2001 CRISPR for ATTR Amyloidosis
  93. Pfizer VyndaMax HCP - 5-Year Long-Term Data
  94. Intellectia.AI - Alnylam Q4 2025 Results Summary
  95. StockAnalysis.com - Alnylam Market Cap
  96. TradingEconomics - Alnylam Market Capitalization
  97. PMPRB Canada - Onpattro Patent Expiry (Canada)
  98. Market Reports - hATTR Amyloidosis Diagnostic Journey
  99. PubMed - ATTR-CM Diagnostic Delay Studies (2025)
  100. Academic.OUP - European Heart Journal ATTR-CM Diagnostic Timeline Study
  101. Frontiers in Oncology - ATTR Amyloidosis Misdiagnosis
  102. PMC/NCBI - Acute Hepatic Porphyria Diagnostic Delay
  103. Cleveland Clinic - Acute Hepatic Porphyria Clinical Presentation
  104. O&G Magazine Australia - Porphyria Often Misunderstood and Rarely Diagnosed
  105. Orpha.net - Acute Hepatic Porphyria Prevalence
  106. Porphyria.com - About AHP (Diagnostic Challenges)
  107. NovoMedLink - Primary Hyperoxaluria Identification and Diagnosis
  108. PMC/NCBI - PH1 Patient Characteristics and Diagnostic Delay
  109. RareDiseases.org - Primary Hyperoxaluria Prevalence
  110. Kidney Fund - Primary Hyperoxaluria Symptoms and Causes
  111. WebMD - Primary Hyperoxaluria Type 1 Symptoms
  112. UncoveringPH.com - PH1 Warning Signs
  113. Mayo Clinic - Hyperoxaluria Symptoms and Causes

Data Gaps Explicitly Noted in Report: